Priority Date Wait Estimator

Estimate priority date wait time from user-entered cutoff dates, bulletin movement, document prep, and backlog assumptions.

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Inputs

mo/yr
mo
mo

Your values stay on this device.

Results

Estimated Total Wait
Priority Date Gap11.992032690609664
Estimated Bulletin Wait23.984065381219327
Estimated Current Date2028-01-01

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Assumptions

  • The current cutoff date and movement rate are user-entered and not fetched from any bulletin.
  • Future movement is modeled as a simple average and does not predict retrogression or pauses.
  • This planning estimate runs locally in your browser from the values you enter. It is not legal advice, not an official government fee or timeline, and not a document or photo acceptance determination.

Sensitivity preview

Assumed Cutoff Advancement -10%: Estimated Total Wait 34.64896153468814

Assumed Cutoff Advancement Current: Estimated Total Wait 31.984065381219327

Assumed Cutoff Advancement +10%: Estimated Total Wait 29.80369580110848

Formula: Priority gap months = max(0, months between entered cutoff date and priority date). Bulletin wait = priority gap months / (assumed advancement months per year / 12). Total wait = bulletin wait + document prep + interview backlog + retrogression buffer.

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About this Priority Date Wait Estimator

Priority-date planning depends on the gap between your priority date and the cutoff date you are using, plus your own assumptions about future bulletin movement, document readiness, and interview backlog.

Who this calculator is for

  • Applicants tracking a family-based or employment-based priority date.
  • Families planning document collection, savings, travel, and interview timing.
  • Case organizers comparing conservative and optimistic bulletin movement assumptions.

When to use it

  • Model how many months remain if cutoff dates advance at a chosen pace.
  • Add document preparation and interview backlog assumptions to a planning wait estimate.
  • Compare scenarios for slow movement, faster movement, or retrogression risk.

How to use this calculator

  1. Enter the priority date and the cutoff date you want to compare against.
  2. Enter the assumed average bulletin advancement per year in months.
  3. Add document preparation, interview queue, and retrogression buffer assumptions.
  4. Use the result as a planning scenario, then verify the actual bulletin and process before acting.

Key assumptions

  • The current cutoff date and movement rate are user-entered and not fetched from any bulletin.
  • Future movement is modeled as a simple average and does not predict retrogression or pauses.
  • This planning estimate runs locally in your browser from the values you enter. It is not legal advice, not an official government fee or timeline, and not a document or photo acceptance determination.

Accuracy and testing

Review formula sources, default test cases, assumptions, unit handling, rounding rules, and changelog for this calculator.

View accuracy page

How this calculator works

Priority-date gap months = max(0, priority date minus current cutoff date). Bulletin wait months = gap months divided by assumed bulletin advancement months per calendar month. Total wait = bulletin wait + document preparation + interview backlog + retrogression buffer.
Priority gap months = max(0, months between entered cutoff date and priority date). Bulletin wait = priority gap months / (assumed advancement months per year / 12). Total wait = bulletin wait + document prep + interview backlog + retrogression buffer.

Inputs explained

Priority date

The applicant priority date to compare against a user-entered cutoff date.

Current cutoff date

The cutoff date you choose to model from a bulletin, chart, or planning scenario.

Bulletin advancement assumption

How many months the cutoff date is assumed to advance per year. This is not predicted by the calculator.

Backlog and buffer months

User-entered time for document preparation, interview queues, retrogression, or administrative uncertainty.

Understanding your results

The estimated wait months are scenario math, not a visa availability prediction. A result near zero means the entered cutoff date is at or after the priority date, but it does not confirm eligibility, document completeness, filing chart choice, or interview scheduling.

Example scenarios

Slow movement scenario

If the cutoff date is 24 months before the priority date and you assume 6 months of advancement per year, the bulletin portion is about 48 months before adding backlog and buffers.

Current-date planning

If the cutoff date is already after the priority date, the remaining estimate comes from your document preparation, interview queue, and buffer assumptions.

Key Features

  • Instant Calculation
  • Private & Secure
  • Mobile Optimized

Things to Keep in Mind

This tool does not determine visa availability, eligibility, chargeability, filing chart selection, petition validity, child age protection, or interview scheduling.

Tips & Best Practices

  • Run optimistic, base, and conservative movement assumptions instead of relying on one scenario.
  • Keep document readiness separate from visa bulletin movement so you can see what you control.
  • Confirm whether the dates-for-filing or final-action chart applies to your next step.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does this read the latest Visa Bulletin?
No. Enter the cutoff date and movement assumption yourself after checking the source you trust.
Can this predict retrogression?
No. Use the retrogression buffer field for your own planning cushion, but actual movement can pause, reverse, or accelerate.
Is the result legal advice?
No. It is a local planning estimate and not legal advice or an official timeline.